TY - JOUR
T1 - The aggregation paradox for statistical rankings and nonparametric tests
AU - Nagaraja, Haikady N.
AU - Sanders, Shane
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2020 Nagaraja, Sanders. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
PY - 2020
Y1 - 2020
N2 - The relationship between social choice aggregation rules and non-parametric statistical tests has been established for several cases. An outstanding, general question at this intersection is whether there exists a non-parametric test that is consistent upon aggregation of data sets (not subject to Yule-Simpson Aggregation Paradox reversals for any ordinal data). Inconsistency has been shown for several non-parametric tests, where the property bears fundamentally upon robustness (ambiguity) of non-parametric test (social choice) results. Using the binomial(n, p = 0.5) random variable CDF, we prove that aggregation of r(≥2) constituent data sets—each rendering a qualitatively-equivalent sign test for matched pairs result—reinforces and strengthens constituent results (sign test consistency). Further, we prove that magnitude of sign test consistency strengthens in significance-level of constituent results (strong-form consistency). We then find preliminary evidence that sign test consistency is preserved for a generalized form of aggregation. Application data illustrate (in)consistency in non-parametric settings, and links with information aggregation mechanisms (as well as paradoxes thereof) are discussed.
AB - The relationship between social choice aggregation rules and non-parametric statistical tests has been established for several cases. An outstanding, general question at this intersection is whether there exists a non-parametric test that is consistent upon aggregation of data sets (not subject to Yule-Simpson Aggregation Paradox reversals for any ordinal data). Inconsistency has been shown for several non-parametric tests, where the property bears fundamentally upon robustness (ambiguity) of non-parametric test (social choice) results. Using the binomial(n, p = 0.5) random variable CDF, we prove that aggregation of r(≥2) constituent data sets—each rendering a qualitatively-equivalent sign test for matched pairs result—reinforces and strengthens constituent results (sign test consistency). Further, we prove that magnitude of sign test consistency strengthens in significance-level of constituent results (strong-form consistency). We then find preliminary evidence that sign test consistency is preserved for a generalized form of aggregation. Application data illustrate (in)consistency in non-parametric settings, and links with information aggregation mechanisms (as well as paradoxes thereof) are discussed.
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U2 - 10.1371/journal.pone.0228627
DO - 10.1371/journal.pone.0228627
M3 - Article
C2 - 32163425
AN - SCOPUS:85081682100
SN - 1932-6203
VL - 15
JO - PloS one
JF - PloS one
IS - 3
M1 - e0228627
ER -