Preliminary engineering cost-estimation strategy assessment for roadway projects

Min Liu, William Rasdorf, Joseph E. Hummer, Donna A. Hollar, Shalin C. Parikh

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

6 Scopus citations

Abstract

Preliminary engineering (PE) for a roadway project encompasses two efforts: planning to minimize the physical, social, and human environmental impacts of projects and engineering design to deliver the best alternative. State transportation agencies strive to manage these efforts efficiently, seeking to maximize the utilization of limited funding and workforce productivity. Managers need a feasible PE budget, considering both cost and time, early in project development. The results reported herein will provide engineers and managers with a comparative investigation evaluating different strategies for establishing a PE budget during the preconstruction phase of roadway project development. Cost data were obtained for 188 North Carolina roadway projects built between 1999 and 2009. An analysis of the North Carolina DOT data yielded an overall mean ratio of PE cost to estimated construction cost (the PE cost ratio) of 11.7%. The multiple linear regression model was used to develop prediction models to forecast the PE cost ratio of future roadway projects. It was found that while differing regression strategies could reduce prediction error, the improvement was small. In terms of simplicity, using the historical means applicable for widening projects (13.3%), rehabilitation/resurfacing projects (7.7%), and new location/interchange projects (16.5%) proved advantageous over regression modeling because a project manager would not have to estimate any project-specific values at the earliest stages of project development. The lowest of these historical means was significantly different than the two higher means (7.7% versus 13.3% and 16.5%); however, the difference between the two higher means (13.3% versus 16.5%) was not statistically significant. The study analyses also found a significant correlation between a project's PE cost ratio and its PE duration, suggesting that further investigation into PE duration of transportation projects is warranted.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)150-157
Number of pages8
JournalJournal of Management in Engineering
Volume29
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - Apr 1 2013
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Cost estimation
  • Duration
  • Preconstruction costs
  • Preliminary engineering
  • Regression
  • Roadway cost

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Industrial relations
  • Engineering(all)
  • Strategy and Management
  • Management Science and Operations Research

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Preliminary engineering cost-estimation strategy assessment for roadway projects'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this