Predicting retention of drug court participants using event history analysis

Elaine M. Wolf, Kathryn A. Sowards, Douglas A. Wolf

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

30 Scopus citations


This paper presents the results of a discrete-time event-history analysis of the relationships between client and program characteristics and the length and outcome of participation in a drug court program. We identify factors associated with both successful completion and premature termination. Having an African-American case manager, being older, having little criminal history, and not being a user of crack cocaine are strongly predictive of successfully completing the program. Predicted probabilities of successful completion ranged from 0.16, in the most pessimistic scenario, to 0.88 for the most optimistic scenario.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)139-162
Number of pages24
JournalJournal of Offender Rehabilitation
Issue number3-4
StatePublished - Nov 2003


  • Case management
  • Criminal sanctions
  • Drug courts
  • Event history analysis
  • Logistic regression
  • Substance abuse treatment
  • Treatment retention

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Rehabilitation
  • Law


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