Performance expectations and the tenure of head coaches: Evidence from NCAA football

Brad R. Humphreys; Rodney J. Paul; Andrew P. Weinbach

doi:10.1016/j.rie.2016.07.001

Performance expectations and the tenure of head coaches: Evidence from NCAA football

Brad R. Humphreys, Rodney J. Paul, Andrew P. Weinbach

Department of Sport Management

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

20 Scopus citations

Abstract

Previous research on coaching turnover indicates that a number of factors, including age, firm performance, and deviation from expected performance affect turnover. We examine the relationship between performance expectations and head coach turnover using data from NCAA Division I-A college football using a market-determined measure of expected performance, winning percentage against point spreads set in betting markets; this expected performance measure does not suffer from many of the problems that plague analysts’ earnings forecasts. We find that performance expectations, actual performance, and tenure affect coaching tenure in NCAA Division I-A college football, based on performance data from 102 Division I-A football programs over the period 1980–2004.

Original language	English (US)
Pages (from-to)	482-492
Number of pages	11
Journal	Research in Economics
Volume	70
Issue number	3
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rie.2016.07.001
State	Published - Sep 1 2016

Keywords

Betting markets
Coaching tenure
Performance expectations

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Economics and Econometrics

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10.1016/j.rie.2016.07.001

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title = "Performance expectations and the tenure of head coaches: Evidence from NCAA football",

abstract = "Previous research on coaching turnover indicates that a number of factors, including age, firm performance, and deviation from expected performance affect turnover. We examine the relationship between performance expectations and head coach turnover using data from NCAA Division I-A college football using a market-determined measure of expected performance, winning percentage against point spreads set in betting markets; this expected performance measure does not suffer from many of the problems that plague analysts{\textquoteright} earnings forecasts. We find that performance expectations, actual performance, and tenure affect coaching tenure in NCAA Division I-A college football, based on performance data from 102 Division I-A football programs over the period 1980–2004.",

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AB - Previous research on coaching turnover indicates that a number of factors, including age, firm performance, and deviation from expected performance affect turnover. We examine the relationship between performance expectations and head coach turnover using data from NCAA Division I-A college football using a market-determined measure of expected performance, winning percentage against point spreads set in betting markets; this expected performance measure does not suffer from many of the problems that plague analysts’ earnings forecasts. We find that performance expectations, actual performance, and tenure affect coaching tenure in NCAA Division I-A college football, based on performance data from 102 Division I-A football programs over the period 1980–2004.

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KW - Coaching tenure

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Performance expectations and the tenure of head coaches: Evidence from NCAA football

Abstract

Keywords

ASJC Scopus subject areas

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