EXPERT SYSTEMS IN FOREIGN POLICY DECISION MAKING.

S. Thorson, K. Andersen

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Abstract

Most successful expert systems have been developed in domains for which there exist well agreed upon problem representations. This study explores the possibilities and problems associated with building computational decision aids in the politically contested and poorly understood domain of US foreign policy. It is argued that expert systems might play a helpful role in such a domain both by aiding decision-makers in the consideration of alternative plausible interpretations for soft and incomplete data and by suggesting alternative problem representations and investigating their consequences. A small implementation which deals with US decision-making during the 1962 Cuban missile crisis is discussed.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationUnknown Host Publication Title
EditorsKamal N. Karna
PublisherIEEE Computer Society
Pages647-655
Number of pages9
ISBN (Print)081860686X
StatePublished - 1985

Fingerprint

Expert systems
Decision making
Missiles

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Engineering(all)

Cite this

Thorson, S., & Andersen, K. (1985). EXPERT SYSTEMS IN FOREIGN POLICY DECISION MAKING. In K. N. Karna (Ed.), Unknown Host Publication Title (pp. 647-655). IEEE Computer Society.

EXPERT SYSTEMS IN FOREIGN POLICY DECISION MAKING. / Thorson, S.; Andersen, K.

Unknown Host Publication Title. ed. / Kamal N. Karna. IEEE Computer Society, 1985. p. 647-655.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Thorson, S & Andersen, K 1985, EXPERT SYSTEMS IN FOREIGN POLICY DECISION MAKING. in KN Karna (ed.), Unknown Host Publication Title. IEEE Computer Society, pp. 647-655.
Thorson S, Andersen K. EXPERT SYSTEMS IN FOREIGN POLICY DECISION MAKING. In Karna KN, editor, Unknown Host Publication Title. IEEE Computer Society. 1985. p. 647-655
Thorson, S. ; Andersen, K. / EXPERT SYSTEMS IN FOREIGN POLICY DECISION MAKING. Unknown Host Publication Title. editor / Kamal N. Karna. IEEE Computer Society, 1985. pp. 647-655
@inproceedings{808bf2b789be4dfbb9f2b9af14f55647,
title = "EXPERT SYSTEMS IN FOREIGN POLICY DECISION MAKING.",
abstract = "Most successful expert systems have been developed in domains for which there exist well agreed upon problem representations. This study explores the possibilities and problems associated with building computational decision aids in the politically contested and poorly understood domain of US foreign policy. It is argued that expert systems might play a helpful role in such a domain both by aiding decision-makers in the consideration of alternative plausible interpretations for soft and incomplete data and by suggesting alternative problem representations and investigating their consequences. A small implementation which deals with US decision-making during the 1962 Cuban missile crisis is discussed.",
author = "S. Thorson and K. Andersen",
year = "1985",
language = "English (US)",
isbn = "081860686X",
pages = "647--655",
editor = "Karna, {Kamal N.}",
booktitle = "Unknown Host Publication Title",
publisher = "IEEE Computer Society",
address = "United States",

}

TY - GEN

T1 - EXPERT SYSTEMS IN FOREIGN POLICY DECISION MAKING.

AU - Thorson, S.

AU - Andersen, K.

PY - 1985

Y1 - 1985

N2 - Most successful expert systems have been developed in domains for which there exist well agreed upon problem representations. This study explores the possibilities and problems associated with building computational decision aids in the politically contested and poorly understood domain of US foreign policy. It is argued that expert systems might play a helpful role in such a domain both by aiding decision-makers in the consideration of alternative plausible interpretations for soft and incomplete data and by suggesting alternative problem representations and investigating their consequences. A small implementation which deals with US decision-making during the 1962 Cuban missile crisis is discussed.

AB - Most successful expert systems have been developed in domains for which there exist well agreed upon problem representations. This study explores the possibilities and problems associated with building computational decision aids in the politically contested and poorly understood domain of US foreign policy. It is argued that expert systems might play a helpful role in such a domain both by aiding decision-makers in the consideration of alternative plausible interpretations for soft and incomplete data and by suggesting alternative problem representations and investigating their consequences. A small implementation which deals with US decision-making during the 1962 Cuban missile crisis is discussed.

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=0022320549&partnerID=8YFLogxK

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=0022320549&partnerID=8YFLogxK

M3 - Conference contribution

AN - SCOPUS:0022320549

SN - 081860686X

SP - 647

EP - 655

BT - Unknown Host Publication Title

A2 - Karna, Kamal N.

PB - IEEE Computer Society

ER -