Determinants of residential land-use conversion and sprawl at the rural-urban fringe

Carmen Carrión-Flores, Elena G. Irwin

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

201 Scopus citations


We estimate a probit model of residential land conversion using parcel-level data from a rural-urban county in Ohio. Spatial landscape pattern metrics are used to quantify land-use patterns and to link patterns of residential sprawl with factors estimated to influence parcel-level land conversion. Findings indicate that the location of new residential development is influenced by preferences for lower density areas that nonetheless are close to existing urban development. Combined, these forces have generated a moderated pattern of residential sprawl. Spatial error autocorrelation is controlled using a spatial sampling technique that enables consistent estimation of the probit model.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)889-904
Number of pages16
JournalAmerican Journal of Agricultural Economics
Issue number4
StatePublished - Nov 2004
Externally publishedYes


  • Land-use change
  • Spatial error dependence
  • Urban spatial structure

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Agricultural and Biological Sciences (miscellaneous)
  • Economics and Econometrics


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