@article{97c526c6ff0f443caa8dc7d9ebc4cd21,
title = "Assessing the value of climate forecast information for pastoralists: Evidence from Southern Ethiopia and Northern Kenya",
abstract = "Climatic variability exerts tremendous influence on the livelihoods and well-being of pastoralists in the Horn of Africa. Recent advances in climate forecasting technologies have raised the intriguing prospect of reasonably accurate forecasts of coming seasons' rainfall patterns. We explore the value of such external climate forecast information to pastoralists in southern Ethiopia and northern Kenya using data collected using both open-ended, qualitative methods to identify and understand indigenous climate forecasting methods and quantitative data collected using survey instruments. On balance, climate forecast information does not seem a limiting factor at present in pastoralist communities in the Horn of Africa.",
keywords = "Early warning systems, Livestock, Risk, Uncertainty, Weather",
author = "Luseno, {Winnie K.} and McPeak, {John G.} and Barrett, {Christopher B.} and Little, {Peter D.} and Getachew Gebru",
note = "Funding Information: Luseno, McPeak and Barrett share seniority of authorship. We thank the governments of Ethiopia and Kenya for research clearance, the International Livestock Research Institute for hospitality, and Abdillahi Aboud, Layne Coppock, Tag Demment, Solomon Desta, Cheryl Doss, Simeon Ehui, Travis Lybbert, Calum McLean, Robinson Ngugi, Sharon Osterloh, Jen Phillips, Kevin Smith, Amare Teklu and a seminar audience at Columbia University for helpful discussions and information, and Ingrid Rhinehart for help with Figure 1 . This work took place within the broader Pastoral Risk Management Project of the Global Livestock Collaborative Research Support Program, funded by the Office of Agriculture and Food Security, Global Bureau, United States Agency for International Development, under grants DAN-1328-G-00-0046-00 and PCE-G-98-00036-00. The opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect the views of the US Agency for International Development. ",
year = "2003",
month = sep,
doi = "10.1016/S0305-750X(03)00113-X",
language = "English (US)",
volume = "31",
pages = "1477--1494",
journal = "World Development",
issn = "0305-750X",
publisher = "Elsevier",
number = "9",
}